M3 Manufacturing Growth Dashboard
Census Bureau M3 Survey  ·  February 2026  ·  Seasonally Adjusted  ·  87 Industries
Balanoff Industrial Team
Shipments YoY
Actual goods leaving factories. Direct proxy for warehouse throughput and freight demand. Rising = real activity now.
Orders YoY
Incoming demand pipeline — ordered but not yet shipped. Leading indicator: rising orders mean space demand grows in 3–6 months.
Backlog trend
3-month change in unfilled orders vs prior 3 months. Building backlog = demand outpacing capacity. Strongest near-term space pressure signal.
Why blanks?
Census M3 only collects orders & backlog for durable goods. Food, pharma, chemicals, and nondurables have no orders data at source.
Orders > Shipments — demand accelerating
Backlog builds, capacity pressure rises. Tenants start looking for space within 3–6 months. Get in front of them now.
Orders < Shipments — demand slowing
Manufacturers burning backlog without replenishing. Space requirements contract. Avoid chasing tenants in this pattern.
Score methodology (max 10):  +2 shipments YoY >0% (+1 bonus if >3%)  ·  +2 orders YoY >0%  ·  +2 orders outpacing shipments  ·  +2 backlog building  ·  +1 inventory/shipments ratio falling

Industry
Tier
IndustryScore Ships YoYOrders YoYBklog trend Tier